What Are We Missing? (UAP Edition)
Facts, Skepticism, and Grains of Truth Amid Misleading Priors
David Grusch. AARO. Alaskan UAP air battles, rogue intelligence agencies, and claims of non-human intelligence being taken seriously by Congress.
Something deeply weird is heating up at an international scale right now, and most people aren’t paying attention to it. But recent facts, taken as a whole, are undeniably worth looking at and asking the question: What the hell are we missing here?
Most people think of anything involving UAPs (unidentified aerial phenomena or formerly UFOs) as science fiction—tabloid-worthy nonsense where there’s always a good story but there’s never any hard proof. More concretely, the association of UFOs with conspiracy theorists, claims of extraterrestrial life, and alien abductions casts an aura of absurdity and confusion over the whole topic area.
On June 5th, 2023, shocking public claims made in an interview by David Grusch, a highly-decorated former military intelligence officer directly responsible for the investigation of UAP reports, sparked a new wave of public interest and discussion in the UAP debate. Grusch testified under oath to members of Congress about both his military work investigating secret UAP programs and alleged reprisals for those inquiries in several 2022 closed-doors sessions, providing them with hours of recorded classified information released under the cover of a new set of whistleblower protection laws.
Here are some of the claims to which he testified at these briefings:
Non-human intelligent beings exist on Earth, are responsible for some UAPs, in some cases have harmed humans, and we have recovered some of their bodies.
The U.S. Military is currently in possession of materials, tools, and different types of intact vehicles of non-human intelligent origin.
There are military-funded black-budget programs stretching back almost 80 years which oversee the retrieval and study of these craft, operate without Congressional or Presidential or oversight or knowledge, and are in a cold war arms race to reverse-engineer the tech with parallel programs in China and Russia.
If this seems unlikely to you, you’re not alone. These are claims that have been made routinely for decades and dismissed, in spite of the novel credible factors involved in David Grusch’s case (including the apparent seriousness with which Congress is taking them). I’ve read numerous refutations and dismissals of the claims in recent weeks, largely accusing Grusch of being a shill to drum up more military funding, and comments from skeptical and intelligent friends I’ve discussed this with range from “he’s lying” to “so what?”
The problem here is that even if Grusch is lying or mistaken about non-human intelligence, we’re still sitting on top of a mountain of undeniably weird and increasingly plausible data points that suggest that something big (and potentially very important to national security discussions) is happening right under our noses. If your response to Grusch’s testimony is “aliens aren’t real and this is all nonsense,” that’s fine, but you should then be asking what is going on with the increasing Government-supported media drumbeat around UAPs.
Here are some undisputed facts worth examining (all of which you can investigate and verify for yourself, along with many other stories):
From 2019-2022, numerous disclosures from official U.S. Government sources changed the decades-old public narrative by admitting that UAPs are real, that we don’t know what they are, and that significant funding and inquiry is (and has been) going toward them.
On July 15, 2022, the U.S. Department of Defense founded the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) to coordinate investigation into national security threats related to “anomalous, unidentified space, airborne, submerged and transmedium objects.”
On August 23, 2022, Vice published an article which highlighted claims from Congressional Intelligence Authorization Act budget that “cross-domain transmedium threats to the United States national security are expanding exponentially” and that “some UFOs have non-human origins.”
In February of 2023, fighter jets are dispatched over the coast of Alaska to shoot down a car-sized UAP of no known origin which interfered with the F-22 sensors and had no clear propulsion mechanism. If you remember this story at all, you probably recall it being a Chinese weather balloon, because that was the biggest story at the time—but that was a separate incident. Officials blatantly refused to characterize the Alaska craft as a weather balloon, no follow-up occurred, and FOIA requests submitted to USAF about the incident are being redirected to AARO, which lately (as of June 2023) has been blanket-denying any FOIA request related to UAPs.
In the last few weeks following Grusch’s public interview about his testimony to Congress (which actually occurred behind closed doors in December 2022), there has been a staggering amount of new (mis?)information, weird government behavior, and strange claims popping up on almost a daily basis related to UAPs and alleged non-human intelligence.
I could list examples, but if your curiosity hasn’t yet been piqued enough to go dig yourself, more bullet point examples won’t help persuade you that something weird is happening. The point is that news about this is speeding up, and fast, when you compare it to the release and treatment of any information about these phenomena over the last century.
This leaves us with basically three high-level possibilities:
UAPs are real, we have evidence that they originate from non-human intelligence with greater technical and military capability than our own, and there’s been an increasing wave of attention, activity, and disclosure about this by the Government since 2019 with conflicting agendas and opinions on disclosure from internal intelligence factions which have successfully concealed their existence from the wider public for over 80 years.
UAPs are real, human-made technology more advanced than anything most humans (including military personnel and Congress) are familiar with, but some faction within the Government (or the military) wants us to believe they’re coming from a non-human intelligent origin and since 2019 has been aggressively releasing staged information to try to persuade the public of this.
All of this UAP and NHI scrabbling is military-originated misinformation which wastes trillions of dollars running our Congresspeople, physicists, the American public, and the international Intelligence community down circular rabbit holes with no verifiable justification.
Any of these possibilities should be deeply upsetting to you. If you’re the hardest of hard-boiled skeptics, you at a minimum still have to contend with #3 (and I’d argue that you’re intentionally ignoring a lot of credible evidence about the existence of UAPs).
If you admit that UAPs seem pretty real but think non-human intelligence sounds like bullshit, you have to grapple with questions about who’s actually building and controlling this tech and why we’re suddenly (seemingly) so worried about it at the national level—including what the point of lying about its origin internally would be when we’re shooting it out of the sky! We have either a massive internal or external (undisclosed) threat in this scenario, and in either case it’s a very big problem.
If #1 is true, well… you don’t need me to tell you that that’s both game-changing and absolutely bonkers. There’s a host of important questions accompanying that possibility, the very least of which are about the characteristics, motivations, and activities of this alleged NHI. This is the most disturbing possibility, and the rabbit holes go deep on speculation and alleged information (Apr ‘23) about this one if you scratch the surface a bit.
It’s worth considering what the steps of a carefully-staged public disclosure might look like if we did have classified extraordinary information about UAPs that the Government has lied about for decades:
It’s not real (like we’ve been telling you).
It might be real, but it’s probably not. We’ll check it out.
We think it’s real, we’re sharing some examples, but we don’t know what it is and we’re looking into it.
We’re just now learning what it is, but we need more information to talk about it.
It turns out it was good that we didn’t talk about it actually, but now we can (and should).
It sure looks a lot like this is the shift in the story that’s been slowly evolving since the early disclosures in 2019, and right now we’re somewhere between #3 and #4 in terms of the official public discussion. “We’re discovering the truth alongside you and rooting out bad internal factions which are lying to us too” is a much better narrative than, “We lied for questionable reasons for a long time and intentionally suppressed a lot of important information.” Nobody would want to get up and tell the latter story in front of America (if true).
As usual, I’m enjoying the woo element of all this drama but retaining a degree of skepticism here—I rolled my eyes at UFOs as recently as three years ago, and I’m not willing to bite hard and believe any particular claims about UAP and NHI without more evidence and consensus clarity in a sea of speculation and misinformation. Regardless, I stand here utterly fascinated by the ongoing unfolding saga around UAPs at the international and federal level. It would be far from the first time that something I thought was crazy at one point turned out to be absolutely true, and the Government’s 2020 admissions to just the existence of UAPs blew open a host of new questions for me.
What is true and what are we missing here if this is all just lies? Clearly something weird is happening with the Government and military right now, and it appears to be speeding up to a breakneck pace after decades of denials and misinformation about it.
Regardless of what truth you believe lies at the heart of all of this, we indisputably continue to find ourselves living in the weirdest timeline.
I'm in camp 3. I think it's a psyop.
I haven't yet seen a video that couldn't be explained by video artifacts or tampering. The Corridor Crew has a series debunking UAP videos. youtu.be/jHDlfIaBEqw
And I'm reminded of the section of Adam Curtis's Hypernormalization doc that talks about the US government encouraging UFO stories/etc as a distraction for Russia and the public to add cover for the stuff they were really doing.
https://youtu.be/WUf2VSiAcRM